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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+1.75vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.17+3.30vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+2.65vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.43+2.43vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.20-1.87vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-1.33+2.69vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.50-0.22vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-1.89+1.85vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.50-4.63vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.44-3.41vs Predicted
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11Miami University-1.46-2.07vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-1.69-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of South Florida1.4528.2%1st Place
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5.3Northwestern University0.178.9%1st Place
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5.65Ohio State University0.097.2%1st Place
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6.43University of Notre Dame-0.435.0%1st Place
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3.13University of Wisconsin1.2023.3%1st Place
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8.69University of Illinois-1.331.6%1st Place
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6.78Northern Michigan University-0.504.1%1st Place
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9.85Unknown School-1.891.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Michigan0.5012.4%1st Place
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6.59Michigan State University-0.444.9%1st Place
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8.93Miami University-1.461.9%1st Place
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9.53Ohio University-1.691.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 28.2% | 24.8% | 18.6% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Beretta | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Williams | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack O'Connor | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 23.3% | 21.8% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 13.6% |
| Jon Seaborg | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Seth Mobley | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 36.0% |
| Adrian Stone | 12.4% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Back | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 17.1% |
| Mo Snyder | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.