Race 4B

maisa-womens-spring-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mayumi Roller 22.3% 20.2% 16.4% 13.9% 10.9% 7.0% 5.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 12.2% 13.0% 12.9% 13.3% 11.5% 11.3% 11.1% 7.7% 5.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 11.4% 8.7% 12.0% 10.4% 11.0% 13.4% 11.9% 11.1% 6.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 10.8% 13.4% 12.8% 12.0% 13.7% 10.8% 10.4% 8.6% 4.8% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 14.8% 13.9% 12.7% 12.4% 13.0% 10.7% 8.5% 7.4% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Natalie Ross 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 3.8% 2.9% 5.2% 4.9% 11.4% 15.4% 28.8% 20.0% 0.8%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.8% 3.2% 3.5% 3.9% 4.5% 6.7% 8.7% 10.2% 18.7% 20.4% 16.9% 0.5%
Johanna Monro 5.0% 4.3% 4.7% 5.2% 7.7% 8.4% 10.0% 13.5% 18.6% 15.0% 7.5% 0.1%
Amanda Taselaar 10.2% 11.8% 13.0% 12.8% 11.3% 13.2% 10.8% 8.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Kaitlynn Menoche 0.8% 1.3% 0.9% 2.7% 2.0% 2.4% 2.7% 6.6% 9.5% 18.8% 51.0% 1.3%
Brooke Lyon 7.6% 7.9% 8.5% 9.5% 11.4% 10.7% 15.6% 12.6% 9.4% 5.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 1.5% 97.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.