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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.17+4.25vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.45+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.20+0.14vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.43+2.47vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.44+1.67vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.50-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.33+1.75vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.09-2.26vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-1.89+0.75vs Predicted
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10Miami University-1.46-1.02vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-0.50-4.31vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-1.69-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Northwestern University0.178.3%1st Place
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2.68University of South Florida1.4529.5%1st Place
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3.14University of Wisconsin1.2023.5%1st Place
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6.47University of Notre Dame-0.435.2%1st Place
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6.67Michigan State University-0.444.7%1st Place
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4.45University of Michigan0.5012.3%1st Place
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8.75University of Illinois-1.331.5%1st Place
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5.74Ohio State University0.096.6%1st Place
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9.75Unknown School-1.891.0%1st Place
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8.98Miami University-1.461.5%1st Place
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6.69Northern Michigan University-0.504.7%1st Place
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9.43Ohio University-1.691.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Beretta | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 29.5% | 25.7% | 18.3% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 23.5% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack O'Connor | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Adrian Stone | 12.3% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 15.2% |
| Emily Williams | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Seth Mobley | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 34.8% |
| Matthew Back | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 16.7% |
| Jon Seaborg | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Mo Snyder | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 21.1% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.