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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.30+7.13vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.67+3.09vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.61vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+1.62vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.72+2.24vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97-1.59vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-3.70vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85-3.39vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.71-4.16vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.07-1.54vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.36-1.24vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-3.28-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.09George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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4.61U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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7.24Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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4.41Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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3.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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4.61Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.84Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.46Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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9.76William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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11.92Hampton University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 22.9% | 14.6% | 0.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 13.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 7.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 14.8% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 23.3% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 25.2% | 21.2% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 19.3% | 51.8% | 2.4% |
| Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 96.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.