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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.20+1.14vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.17+2.31vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.09+1.75vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.50-0.39vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.44+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.43-0.26vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.33+0.89vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-0.50-2.12vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-0.99-1.87vs Predicted
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11Miami University-1.47-1.88vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-1.87-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of South Florida1.4529.0%1st Place
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3.14University of Wisconsin1.2024.6%1st Place
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5.31Northwestern University0.178.9%1st Place
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5.75Ohio State University0.096.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Michigan0.5011.2%1st Place
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6.83Michigan State University-0.443.9%1st Place
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6.74University of Notre Dame-0.434.7%1st Place
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8.89University of Illinois-1.331.9%1st Place
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6.88Northern Michigan University-0.504.7%1st Place
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8.13Ohio University-0.992.4%1st Place
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9.12Miami University-1.471.6%1st Place
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9.9Unknown School-1.870.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 29.0% | 25.2% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 24.6% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Beretta | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Emily Williams | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Adrian Stone | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Dodge | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Jack O'Connor | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| Jon Seaborg | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Crown Steiner | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 9.3% |
| Patrick Carroll | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 23.1% |
| David Holtzclaw | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 19.3% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.