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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.36vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+2.63vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+1.97vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.60vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+0.59vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.67-0.91vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.72+0.18vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97-3.69vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.30-0.93vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.36-0.37vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.07-2.34vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-3.28-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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4.63Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.97Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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5.09George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.18Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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4.31Old Dominion University2.970.2%1st Place
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8.07Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.63William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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8.66Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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11.92Hampton University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 21.3% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 11.3% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 11.5% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 12.4% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 7.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 15.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 23.5% | 13.0% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 51.5% | 1.5% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 25.8% | 22.6% | 1.2% |
| Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.9% | 97.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.