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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.37vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+2.68vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+1.98vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+0.43vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.67+0.09vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.36+3.69vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.46vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.30+0.06vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-3.57vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.72-2.84vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.07-2.33vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-3.28-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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4.68Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.98Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.43Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.09George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.69William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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4.54U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.06Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.67Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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11.92Hampton University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 23.3% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 11.9% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 12.4% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 52.2% | 2.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 13.9% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 22.6% | 14.7% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Lyon | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 6.1% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 28.2% | 21.0% | 0.9% |
| Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 96.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.