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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+1.81vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.20+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.50+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.43+2.65vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.17+0.29vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.44+0.86vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.09-1.36vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-0.50-1.12vs Predicted
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9Miami University-1.47+0.21vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-1.33-1.06vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-0.99-2.94vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-1.87-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of South Florida1.4528.4%1st Place
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3.21University of Wisconsin1.2021.6%1st Place
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4.47University of Michigan0.5011.6%1st Place
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6.65University of Notre Dame-0.434.4%1st Place
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5.29Northwestern University0.178.9%1st Place
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6.86Michigan State University-0.445.0%1st Place
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5.64Ohio State University0.098.5%1st Place
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6.88Northern Michigan University-0.504.2%1st Place
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9.21Miami University-1.471.7%1st Place
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8.94University of Illinois-1.331.8%1st Place
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8.06Ohio University-0.992.9%1st Place
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9.96Unknown School-1.870.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 28.4% | 24.0% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 21.6% | 22.1% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Stone | 11.6% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack O'Connor | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Beretta | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Dodge | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Emily Williams | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jon Seaborg | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Patrick Carroll | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 20.2% | 23.9% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 17.5% |
| Crown Steiner | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 10.0% |
| David Holtzclaw | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.