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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+3.48vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.07+6.55vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.63vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+1.59vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-1.62vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85-1.32vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.30+1.02vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.71-3.07vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67-4.13vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.72-2.77vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.36-1.26vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-3.28-0.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.55Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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4.63U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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3.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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4.68Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.02Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.93Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.87George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.23Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.74William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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11.91Hampton University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 13.5% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 26.7% | 21.0% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 23.0% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 22.5% | 15.4% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 7.5% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 51.8% | 2.3% |
| Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 96.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.