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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.20+0.97vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.20+2.91vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.50+0.19vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.09+0.34vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.50+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.33+1.59vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.44-1.64vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-0.99-1.36vs Predicted
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10Miami University-1.46-1.15vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-1.76-1.62vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-1.89-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62University of South Florida1.4531.4%1st Place
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2.97University of Wisconsin1.2024.3%1st Place
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5.91Northwestern University-0.205.9%1st Place
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4.19University of Michigan0.5011.8%1st Place
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5.34Ohio State University0.098.5%1st Place
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6.43Northern Michigan University-0.504.9%1st Place
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8.59University of Illinois-1.331.9%1st Place
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6.36Michigan State University-0.445.0%1st Place
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7.64Ohio University-0.992.6%1st Place
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8.85Miami University-1.461.7%1st Place
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9.38University of Notre Dame-1.760.9%1st Place
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9.74Unknown School-1.891.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 31.4% | 24.7% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 24.3% | 23.2% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lubben | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Adrian Stone | 11.8% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Jon Seaborg | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 13.7% |
| Ryan Dodge | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Crown Steiner | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 5.6% |
| Matthew Back | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 17.0% |
| Kate Norman | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 26.5% |
| Seth Mobley | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.