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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+3.38vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.33+3.79vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+2.47vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-0.74vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.72+2.17vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.07+2.52vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.30+0.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.54vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85-4.59vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.67-5.02vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.36-1.30vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-3.28-0.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.79Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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3.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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7.17Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.52Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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7.94Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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4.41Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.98George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.7William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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11.91Hampton University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 22.3% | 23.0% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 28.6% | 19.8% | 0.5% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 16.3% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 14.0% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 12.9% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 18.5% | 50.9% | 2.6% |
| Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 96.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.