← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.45+1.60vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.20+0.95vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan0.50+1.30vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University-0.44+2.36vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-0.20+0.86vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University0.09-0.62vs Predicted
-
7University of Illinois-1.33+1.52vs Predicted
-
8Northern Michigan University-0.50-1.61vs Predicted
-
9Unknown School-1.89+0.73vs Predicted
-
10Miami University-1.46-1.11vs Predicted
-
11University of Notre Dame-1.76-1.63vs Predicted
-
12Ohio University-0.99-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.6University of South Florida1.4531.3%1st Place
-
2.95University of Wisconsin1.2025.1%1st Place
-
4.3University of Michigan0.5012.0%1st Place
-
6.36Michigan State University-0.445.1%1st Place
-
5.86Northwestern University-0.205.9%1st Place
-
5.38Ohio State University0.097.0%1st Place
-
8.52University of Illinois-1.332.1%1st Place
-
6.39Northern Michigan University-0.505.1%1st Place
-
9.73Unknown School-1.890.9%1st Place
-
8.89Miami University-1.461.4%1st Place
-
9.37University of Notre Dame-1.761.1%1st Place
-
7.66Ohio University-0.992.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 31.3% | 25.6% | 18.1% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 25.1% | 22.1% | 20.0% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Stone | 12.0% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Dodge | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Owen Lubben | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Emily Williams | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Katie Benstead | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 14.4% |
| Jon Seaborg | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Seth Mobley | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 20.1% | 31.5% |
| Matthew Back | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 16.9% |
| Kate Norman | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 27.0% |
| Crown Steiner | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.