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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.20+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.45+0.75vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.17+2.21vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.50+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.43+1.56vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.50+0.88vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.09-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.33+0.70vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-1.89+0.81vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.44-3.29vs Predicted
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11Miami University-1.47-2.19vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-1.69-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of Wisconsin1.2022.8%1st Place
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2.75University of South Florida1.4529.1%1st Place
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5.21Northwestern University0.177.3%1st Place
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4.47University of Michigan0.5013.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Notre Dame-0.434.8%1st Place
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6.88Northern Michigan University-0.503.7%1st Place
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5.59Ohio State University0.097.5%1st Place
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8.7University of Illinois-1.332.8%1st Place
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9.81Unknown School-1.890.9%1st Place
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6.71Michigan State University-0.444.1%1st Place
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8.81Miami University-1.472.5%1st Place
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9.39Ohio University-1.691.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Dempsey | 22.8% | 22.2% | 19.1% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 29.1% | 23.8% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Beretta | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Adrian Stone | 13.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack O'Connor | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Jon Seaborg | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Emily Williams | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Katie Benstead | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 15.2% |
| Seth Mobley | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 20.6% | 34.2% |
| Ryan Dodge | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Carroll | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 17.1% |
| Mo Snyder | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.