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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+3.40vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.52vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.72+3.19vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+0.47vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.30+2.07vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.33-1.32vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85-3.51vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67-4.17vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.07-1.58vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.36-1.27vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-3.28-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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3.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.19Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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5.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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8.07Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.68Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.49Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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4.83George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.42Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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9.73William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
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11.92Hampton University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 14.5% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 22.2% | 21.7% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 14.3% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Lyon | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 13.1% | 0.4% |
| Merritt Moran | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.2% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 25.0% | 20.9% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 52.0% | 2.5% |
| Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 96.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.