← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.33+2.90vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.41+4.11vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.90+1.84vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont3.04-0.52vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.64-0.50vs Predicted
-
7Bates College2.43-0.91vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University1.90-0.63vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-3.57vs Predicted
-
10Yale University1.64-1.91vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.14-4.21vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.69-1.73vs Predicted
-
13Brandeis University1.25-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.9University of Vermont3.330.2%1st Place
-
6.11Tufts University2.410.1%1st Place
-
4.84Boston University2.900.1%1st Place
-
4.48University of Vermont3.040.1%1st Place
-
5.5University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
-
6.09Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.37Harvard University1.900.1%1st Place
-
5.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.1%1st Place
-
8.09Yale University1.640.0%1st Place
-
6.79Northeastern University2.140.1%1st Place
-
10.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
-
9.12Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kelleher | 18.4% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| John Work | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Tripp Cashel | 13.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Layton | 13.5% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lyle Fielding | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Sam Millham | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 11.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Stevens | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 10.7% |
| Bryant Dunn | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| Santiago Enrique | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 17.9% | 49.1% |
| Jared Dunn | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 24.2% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.