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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.20+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-1.33+5.72vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.50+0.49vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.09+0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.43+0.71vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-0.50-0.24vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-1.89+1.72vs Predicted
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9Miami University-1.47-0.03vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-0.44-3.41vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-1.69-1.60vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.17-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of South Florida1.4531.4%1st Place
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3.11University of Wisconsin1.2023.2%1st Place
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8.72University of Illinois-1.331.8%1st Place
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4.49University of Michigan0.5012.7%1st Place
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5.63Ohio State University0.096.3%1st Place
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6.71University of Notre Dame-0.434.4%1st Place
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6.76Northern Michigan University-0.504.3%1st Place
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9.72Unknown School-1.890.8%1st Place
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8.97Miami University-1.471.7%1st Place
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6.59Michigan State University-0.444.5%1st Place
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9.4Ohio University-1.691.5%1st Place
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5.22Northwestern University0.177.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 31.4% | 23.4% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 23.2% | 21.9% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 14.9% |
| Adrian Stone | 12.7% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack O'Connor | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Jon Seaborg | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Seth Mobley | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Patrick Carroll | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 19.4% |
| Ryan Dodge | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Mo Snyder | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 25.8% |
| Matthew Beretta | 7.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.