Race 11B

maisa-womens-spring-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brooke Lyon 8.6% 8.0% 9.6% 9.8% 11.8% 11.9% 14.4% 11.9% 7.9% 4.8% 1.3% 0.0%
Mayumi Roller 22.5% 21.1% 18.1% 12.9% 8.7% 8.1% 4.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 15.2% 12.5% 15.1% 10.2% 13.2% 13.5% 9.6% 6.6% 3.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 11.5% 15.6% 13.1% 13.9% 11.7% 11.2% 9.0% 6.8% 5.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Merritt Moran 7.6% 7.8% 9.8% 8.9% 11.5% 10.6% 12.8% 11.1% 10.9% 6.8% 2.2% 0.0%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.4% 2.8% 3.1% 5.7% 3.9% 5.6% 8.8% 11.2% 18.4% 23.6% 14.0% 0.5%
Jennifer Borshoff 14.1% 12.9% 12.9% 11.9% 13.0% 11.5% 9.8% 7.9% 3.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 12.2% 11.8% 10.1% 12.4% 12.6% 11.0% 9.6% 10.1% 6.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Johanna Monro 2.9% 4.4% 4.8% 7.2% 8.0% 9.6% 12.1% 14.7% 15.9% 14.2% 6.1% 0.1%
Kaitlynn Menoche 0.8% 1.0% 2.0% 2.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 6.4% 9.9% 18.4% 50.6% 1.5%
Natalie Ross 2.1% 2.0% 1.4% 4.2% 3.8% 4.5% 6.7% 10.4% 17.3% 24.9% 21.7% 1.0%
Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 1.8% 96.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.