← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.30vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.97+2.29vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.33+2.78vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.56vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.85-0.45vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-0.49vs Predicted
-
7Columbia University1.30+0.96vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary0.36+1.58vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.67-4.20vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University1.07-1.58vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University1.72-3.67vs Predicted
-
12Hampton University-3.28-0.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
-
4.29Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.78Georgetown University2.330.1%1st Place
-
4.56U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
4.55Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
5.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.96Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
9.58William and Mary0.360.0%1st Place
-
4.8George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
-
8.42Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
-
7.33Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
-
11.91Hampton University-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 23.6% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 13.7% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Merritt Moran | 8.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 11.6% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 23.0% | 14.3% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlynn Menoche | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 18.1% | 49.7% | 2.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Ross | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 23.7% | 22.2% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 0.2% |
| Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 96.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.