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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.20+1.10vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.17+2.32vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.50+0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.33+3.68vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.09-0.33vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.44-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.43-1.30vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-0.50-2.25vs Predicted
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10Miami University-1.46-1.01vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-1.89-1.26vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-1.69-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of South Florida1.4529.9%1st Place
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3.1University of Wisconsin1.2022.9%1st Place
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5.32Northwestern University0.177.0%1st Place
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4.36University of Michigan0.5013.3%1st Place
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8.68University of Illinois-1.332.1%1st Place
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5.67Ohio State University0.097.2%1st Place
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6.55Michigan State University-0.445.4%1st Place
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6.7University of Notre Dame-0.434.7%1st Place
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6.75Northern Michigan University-0.504.2%1st Place
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8.99Miami University-1.461.2%1st Place
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9.74Unknown School-1.891.3%1st Place
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9.43Ohio University-1.690.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 29.9% | 23.6% | 19.5% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 22.9% | 22.4% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Beretta | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Adrian Stone | 13.3% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katie Benstead | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 15.3% |
| Emily Williams | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Dodge | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Jack O'Connor | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Jon Seaborg | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Back | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 19.2% |
| Seth Mobley | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 33.5% |
| Mo Snyder | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 22.6% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.