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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.20+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.50+1.44vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.17+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.43+1.63vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.50+0.64vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.09-1.29vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.44-1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-1.33-0.37vs Predicted
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10Miami University-1.46-1.08vs Predicted
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11Unknown School-1.89-1.15vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-1.69-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of South Florida1.4532.7%1st Place
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3.15University of Wisconsin1.2021.2%1st Place
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4.44University of Michigan0.5012.6%1st Place
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5.27Northwestern University0.177.6%1st Place
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6.63University of Notre Dame-0.433.6%1st Place
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6.64Northern Michigan University-0.504.2%1st Place
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5.71Ohio State University0.097.7%1st Place
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6.71Michigan State University-0.444.5%1st Place
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8.63University of Illinois-1.331.7%1st Place
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8.92Miami University-1.461.5%1st Place
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9.85Unknown School-1.891.0%1st Place
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9.42Ohio University-1.691.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 32.7% | 24.6% | 17.4% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dempsey | 21.2% | 22.9% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Stone | 12.6% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Beretta | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack O'Connor | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Jon Seaborg | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Emily Williams | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Dodge | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 14.9% |
| Matthew Back | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 18.2% |
| Seth Mobley | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 34.1% |
| Mo Snyder | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 22.6% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.