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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-1.03+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+1.62vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.13-0.55vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.92-0.54vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.35-2.35vs Predicted
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6Bates College-2.52-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53McGill University-1.0313.4%1st Place
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3.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.7711.9%1st Place
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2.45McGill University0.1331.8%1st Place
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3.46McGill University-0.9214.1%1st Place
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2.65Amherst College-0.3526.4%1st Place
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5.29Bates College-2.522.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Bascio | 13.4% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 21.4% | 23.4% | 8.6% |
| Kate Myler | 11.9% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 23.3% | 10.9% |
| Jacob Webster | 31.8% | 25.1% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Liam Parnell | 14.1% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 9.0% |
| Nat Edmonds | 26.4% | 25.3% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 2.9% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.