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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College-0.35+1.69vs Predicted
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2McGill University-1.03+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.49-0.09vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.53-1.04vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.92-1.53vs Predicted
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6Bates College-2.52-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Amherst College-0.3527.1%1st Place
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3.64McGill University-1.0312.3%1st Place
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2.91University of Minnesota-0.4921.9%1st Place
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2.96McGill University-0.5321.1%1st Place
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3.47McGill University-0.9215.0%1st Place
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5.34Bates College-2.522.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nat Edmonds | 27.1% | 23.6% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 2.5% |
| Finn Bascio | 12.3% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 24.8% | 11.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 21.9% | 21.1% | 21.8% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 3.6% |
| Tessa Hason | 21.1% | 21.6% | 20.3% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 4.5% |
| Liam Parnell | 15.0% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 8.0% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.