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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-0.92+2.50vs Predicted
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2Amherst College-0.35+0.75vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.49-0.09vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.53-1.04vs Predicted
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5McGill University-1.03-1.39vs Predicted
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6Bates College-2.52-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5McGill University-0.9214.1%1st Place
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2.75Amherst College-0.3523.8%1st Place
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2.91University of Minnesota-0.4922.4%1st Place
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2.96McGill University-0.5323.2%1st Place
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3.61McGill University-1.0313.5%1st Place
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5.27Bates College-2.523.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Parnell | 14.1% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 20.2% | 22.3% | 9.3% |
| Nat Edmonds | 23.8% | 25.4% | 19.9% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 2.8% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 22.4% | 20.8% | 20.5% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 3.5% |
| Tessa Hason | 23.2% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 4.2% |
| Finn Bascio | 13.5% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 24.2% | 11.9% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.