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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.23+2.81vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.44+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+2.12vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60+4.50vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23-1.19vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.56-0.49vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.45-1.10vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.96-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.25+4.15vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.52-1.50vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97-1.77vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.70-7.80vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.78-3.26vs Predicted
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15Williams College0.59-3.76vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.64-4.94vs Predicted
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17Brandeis University0.59-5.65vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-1.20-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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3.42Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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5.12University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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3.81Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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5.51Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.9Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University1.960.1%1st Place
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13.15University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
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8.5University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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10.23Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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5.2Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.74Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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11.24Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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11.06Maine Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
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11.35Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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14.93Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Kopp | 20.1% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 23.9% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 20.1% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 29.7% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Minot Frye | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| David Markley | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 15.8% | 63.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.