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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-1.03+2.49vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.53+0.85vs Predicted
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3Amherst College-0.35-0.41vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.92-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-1.50vs Predicted
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6Bates College-2.52-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49McGill University-1.0314.3%1st Place
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2.85McGill University-0.5323.1%1st Place
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2.59Amherst College-0.3528.0%1st Place
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3.33McGill University-0.9216.4%1st Place
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3.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.7714.9%1st Place
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5.24Bates College-2.523.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Bascio | 14.3% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 22.2% | 10.2% |
| Tessa Hason | 23.1% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 3.5% |
| Nat Edmonds | 28.0% | 25.3% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Liam Parnell | 16.4% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 20.4% | 20.0% | 7.2% |
| Kate Myler | 14.9% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 23.1% | 9.8% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.