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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-0.53+1.80vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.92+1.31vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.03+0.46vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-0.35-1.40vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-1.44vs Predicted
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6Bates College-2.52-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8McGill University-0.5323.6%1st Place
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3.31McGill University-0.9217.1%1st Place
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3.46McGill University-1.0315.7%1st Place
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2.6Amherst College-0.3526.8%1st Place
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3.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.7714.1%1st Place
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5.27Bates College-2.522.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tessa Hason | 23.6% | 22.7% | 20.9% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 2.5% |
| Liam Parnell | 17.1% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 20.5% | 19.4% | 7.8% |
| Finn Bascio | 15.7% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.7% | 22.2% | 8.9% |
| Nat Edmonds | 26.8% | 26.8% | 20.6% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Kate Myler | 14.1% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 24.2% | 10.8% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.