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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.44+2.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.56+3.55vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+0.87vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+1.20vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.96+1.28vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.52+1.68vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45-2.05vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-0.77vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.70-4.78vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.25+2.27vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-8.13vs Predicted
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13Williams College0.59-1.82vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.78-3.23vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.64-3.87vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-5.89vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-1.20-2.16vs Predicted
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18Brandeis University0.59-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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5.55Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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3.87Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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5.2University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.68University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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5.95Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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5.22Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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13.27University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
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3.87Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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11.18Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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10.77Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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11.13Maine Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
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10.11Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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14.84Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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11.34Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin MURPHY | 22.9% | 20.9% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 19.3% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 30.5% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 19.3% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Minot Frye | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| David Markley | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 15.0% | 64.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.