← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1McGill University0.38+1.55vs Predicted
-
2Amherst College0.09+0.93vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.70+0.86vs Predicted
-
4McGill University-0.19-0.69vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-1.15vs Predicted
-
6McGill University-1.03-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.55McGill University0.3829.2%1st Place
-
2.93Amherst College0.0922.6%1st Place
-
3.86Bates College-0.7012.0%1st Place
-
3.31McGill University-0.1916.9%1st Place
-
3.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.5211.5%1st Place
-
4.49McGill University-1.037.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hal Clews | 29.2% | 26.1% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Madison Suh | 22.6% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 6.6% |
| Colby Green | 12.0% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 21.1% | 20.5% |
| Youmans Yuan | 16.9% | 16.8% | 21.0% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 10.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 20.4% | 20.6% |
| Camila Heredia | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.