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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.45+4.92vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.70+3.27vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+0.94vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.44-0.46vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University0.59+6.45vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72-0.69vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.23-3.06vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.78+2.00vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.07-3.00vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.52-2.35vs Predicted
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12Williams College0.59-0.51vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-4.55vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.96-6.59vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.25-1.66vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-9.07vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.64-5.63vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-1.20-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.94Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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3.54Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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11.45Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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3.94Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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11.0Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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7.0Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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8.65University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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11.49Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University1.960.1%1st Place
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13.34University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.93Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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11.37Maine Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
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14.93Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 18.3% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 22.4% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 18.3% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Minot Frye | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 28.2% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Markley | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 15.6% | 63.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.