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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.38+1.56vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.19+1.32vs Predicted
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3Amherst College0.09-0.10vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.70-0.05vs Predicted
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5McGill University-1.03-0.55vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56McGill University0.3828.9%1st Place
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3.32McGill University-0.1917.2%1st Place
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2.9Amherst College0.0922.6%1st Place
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3.95Bates College-0.7012.3%1st Place
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4.45McGill University-1.037.8%1st Place
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3.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.5211.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hal Clews | 28.9% | 26.1% | 19.2% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 2.6% |
| Youmans Yuan | 17.2% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 10.8% |
| Madison Suh | 22.6% | 22.2% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Colby Green | 12.3% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 21.6% | 23.4% |
| Camila Heredia | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 21.8% | 37.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 11.2% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.