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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.55vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.35+4.45vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.79+5.37vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.92+3.58vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.39+11.57vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.77-1.03vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.54-1.39vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.93-0.36vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.13+6.91vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58-4.27vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-1.93vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.73-3.26vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.84-5.13vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.86-2.89vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.67-2.92vs Predicted
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16Drexel University1.52-3.39vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.39-3.98vs Predicted
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18William and Mary1.27-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.2%1st Place
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6.45Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Naval Academy2.790.0%1st Place
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7.58Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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16.57University of Maryland-0.390.0%1st Place
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4.97Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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15.91Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
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8.74Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.87George Washington University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.11Hampton University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.08Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
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12.61Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.02SUNY Maritime College1.390.0%1st Place
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13.11William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 15.8% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Allsopp | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zach Runci | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gilson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 20.0% | 54.1% |
| Michael Campbell | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 28.4% | 33.3% |
| Ian Oviatt | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 5.0% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shane Horsford | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Myers | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Bergan | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Walker | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 4.6% |
| Jonathan Conway | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.