← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.49vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.42+0.56vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.90vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.82-0.80vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.26-0.93vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.73-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.49U. S. Naval Academy2.6030.2%1st Place
-
2.56Georgetown University2.4228.4%1st Place
-
3.9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7910.3%1st Place
-
3.2George Washington University1.8216.8%1st Place
-
4.07Old Dominion University1.269.0%1st Place
-
4.77Christopher Newport University0.735.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 30.2% | 25.9% | 21.1% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Enzo Menditto | 28.4% | 24.9% | 21.1% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 2.3% |
| Landon Cormie | 10.3% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 25.7% | 17.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 16.8% | 19.2% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 7.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 20.3% | 24.2% | 22.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 18.9% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.