Race 2B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tripp Cashel 11.8% 12.4% 11.7% 11.7% 12.6% 9.8% 10.4% 7.7% 6.1% 2.7% 2.8% 0.3%
Lyle Fielding 8.7% 10.6% 9.9% 11.0% 10.6% 10.9% 10.6% 9.4% 8.6% 5.1% 3.6% 1.0%
John Work 9.2% 6.7% 8.0% 9.8% 8.6% 9.8% 10.3% 10.7% 10.3% 9.6% 5.0% 2.0%
Joseph Kelleher 18.3% 20.4% 15.1% 12.4% 9.8% 8.4% 5.7% 5.3% 3.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Tommy Holmberg 8.2% 7.6% 8.0% 9.4% 10.0% 11.3% 9.6% 9.4% 9.1% 8.9% 6.3% 2.2%
Kenneth Layton 14.6% 14.1% 14.1% 12.1% 10.8% 11.0% 7.6% 7.1% 4.0% 3.0% 1.4% 0.2%
Bryant Dunn 6.2% 6.8% 7.6% 8.3% 8.0% 8.8% 10.4% 8.9% 10.7% 10.9% 9.5% 3.9%
Steven Drapcho 11.7% 9.9% 11.0% 8.9% 10.8% 10.1% 8.8% 10.5% 8.4% 4.9% 3.5% 1.5%
Jared Dunn 1.7% 2.3% 3.4% 3.0% 3.4% 4.9% 7.2% 7.9% 8.7% 16.5% 21.0% 20.0%
Sam Millham 4.9% 5.1% 5.4% 6.3% 7.5% 7.4% 8.7% 10.6% 12.3% 13.0% 12.1% 6.7%
Nathan Stevens 3.7% 2.4% 4.0% 5.0% 5.8% 5.3% 8.0% 8.9% 11.9% 14.6% 15.2% 15.2%
Santiago Enrique 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 2.7% 3.6% 6.8% 10.0% 19.0% 46.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.