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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+4.42vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.13+6.97vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.05+2.31vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.30+3.00vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.94+4.78vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.22+2.68vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.12+2.11vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.85+1.95vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.93-0.79vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.58-1.68vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University-0.84+2.21vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.70-4.70vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.54-4.83vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-4.47vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.70-4.51vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.36-4.22vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.40-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42U. S. Naval Academy2.1613.4%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland1.135.5%1st Place
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5.31Tulane University2.0513.8%1st Place
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7.0Webb Institute1.309.3%1st Place
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9.78Cornell University0.944.0%1st Place
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8.68Old Dominion University1.225.0%1st Place
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9.11North Carolina State University1.124.9%1st Place
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9.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.853.6%1st Place
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8.21University of Miami1.935.9%1st Place
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8.32Hampton University0.586.5%1st Place
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13.21Christopher Newport University-0.841.2%1st Place
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7.3Jacksonville University1.707.6%1st Place
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8.17Fordham University1.546.4%1st Place
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9.53Northeastern University1.074.0%1st Place
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10.49George Washington University0.703.8%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont0.362.4%1st Place
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11.76Boston University0.402.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Raam Fox | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| John Wood | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Marcus Greco | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Pierce Brindley | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Jack Guinness | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Brown | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Laura Smith | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 31.2% |
| Patrick Igoe | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Marco Welch | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 15.3% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.