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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College0.09+1.91vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.38+0.53vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.70+0.91vs Predicted
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4McGill University-1.03+0.53vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.19-1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Amherst College0.0920.8%1st Place
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2.53McGill University0.3831.4%1st Place
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3.91Bates College-0.7011.8%1st Place
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4.53McGill University-1.036.8%1st Place
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3.29McGill University-0.1917.0%1st Place
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3.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.5212.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Suh | 20.8% | 24.6% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 5.1% |
| Hal Clews | 31.4% | 24.3% | 19.3% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Colby Green | 11.8% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 20.8% |
| Camila Heredia | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 39.2% |
| Youmans Yuan | 17.0% | 18.4% | 20.3% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 10.8% |
| Marshall Rodes | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.