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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+3.97vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+1.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.07+3.77vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+1.11vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.44-1.60vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60+2.29vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.23-3.20vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.52+0.54vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97+0.96vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45-4.24vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University0.59+0.27vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.96-5.93vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.78-3.35vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.25-1.78vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.64-5.01vs Predicted
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17Williams College0.59-5.68vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-1.20-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.8Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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6.77Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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3.4Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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3.8Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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8.54University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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9.96Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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5.76Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.27Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University1.960.1%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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13.22University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
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10.99Maine Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
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11.32Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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14.89Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 20.1% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 22.8% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 20.1% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Minot Frye | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 28.7% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| David Markley | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 15.3% | 62.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.