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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College0.09+1.95vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.19+1.27vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.38-0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-0.18vs Predicted
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5McGill University-1.03-0.45vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.70-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Amherst College0.0923.3%1st Place
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3.27McGill University-0.1918.1%1st Place
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2.52McGill University0.3830.6%1st Place
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3.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.5210.3%1st Place
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4.55McGill University-1.036.6%1st Place
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3.89Bates College-0.7011.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Suh | 23.3% | 20.2% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 6.8% |
| Youmans Yuan | 18.1% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 10.5% |
| Hal Clews | 30.6% | 26.4% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 10.3% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 21.1% | 19.7% |
| Camila Heredia | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 22.0% | 38.2% |
| Colby Green | 11.1% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 20.8% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.