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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60+7.13vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.07+4.77vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70+2.08vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23-0.17vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.23-2.17vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.64+4.12vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44-4.61vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45-3.20vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.72-5.04vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.96-3.87vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97-1.82vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.52-4.61vs Predicted
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14Williams College0.59-2.82vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.25-1.75vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-1.19vs Predicted
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17Brandeis University0.59-5.73vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.78-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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6.77Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.08Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.83Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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3.83Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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11.12Maine Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
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3.39Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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5.8Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University1.960.1%1st Place
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10.18Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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8.39University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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11.18Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
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14.81Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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11.27Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Barry | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 18.0% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 18.0% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Markley | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 21.7% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 12.1% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 26.4% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 16.9% | 60.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Minot Frye | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.