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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.38+1.57vs Predicted
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2Amherst College0.09+0.93vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.03+1.44vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.19-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-1.22vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.70-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57McGill University0.3829.3%1st Place
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2.93Amherst College0.0922.8%1st Place
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4.44McGill University-1.036.9%1st Place
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3.31McGill University-0.1918.2%1st Place
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3.78University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.5211.9%1st Place
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3.98Bates College-0.7010.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hal Clews | 29.3% | 25.4% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Madison Suh | 22.8% | 20.8% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
| Camila Heredia | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 21.6% | 36.4% |
| Youmans Yuan | 18.2% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 11.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 19.5% |
| Colby Green | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.