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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.23+2.75vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.07+4.75vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.44+0.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.70+1.17vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+0.75vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.23-2.25vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.96+0.22vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.78+1.64vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-1.86vs Predicted
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11Williams College0.59+0.16vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.64-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-7.99vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.52-5.57vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-4.90vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.20-1.22vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.25-3.66vs Predicted
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18Brandeis University0.59-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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6.75Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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3.37Dartmouth College3.440.2%1st Place
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5.17Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.75Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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3.75Connecticut College3.230.2%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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11.16Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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11.12Maine Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
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5.01University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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8.43University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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10.1Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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14.78Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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13.34University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
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11.27Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Kopp | 19.0% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 23.9% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 19.0% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Minot Frye | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| David Markley | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 17.1% | 59.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 27.9% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.