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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.85+1.49vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.10+0.11vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.42+1.06vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.78+0.51vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.54-0.83vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.09-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Purdue University0.8528.8%1st Place
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2.11University of Wisconsin1.1038.0%1st Place
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4.06Lake Forest College-0.428.2%1st Place
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4.51Marquette University-0.785.8%1st Place
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4.17Northwestern University-0.548.1%1st Place
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3.66Marquette University-0.0910.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 28.8% | 26.1% | 22.7% | 14.0% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 38.0% | 30.5% | 18.2% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Marquez | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 23.5% | 21.3% |
| Hunter Ott | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 22.0% | 36.8% |
| Anna Kovacs | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 25.2% | 25.4% |
| Eli Erling | 10.9% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 21.8% | 19.2% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.