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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.85+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.10+0.14vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.42+1.08vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.54+0.11vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.78-0.47vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.09-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Purdue University0.8528.3%1st Place
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2.14University of Wisconsin1.1038.6%1st Place
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4.08Lake Forest College-0.428.2%1st Place
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4.11Northwestern University-0.548.1%1st Place
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4.53Marquette University-0.785.0%1st Place
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3.64Marquette University-0.0911.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 28.3% | 26.1% | 22.7% | 14.7% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 38.6% | 28.5% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Lucia Marquez | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 23.2% | 23.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 23.9% |
| Hunter Ott | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 23.9% | 36.4% |
| Eli Erling | 11.9% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 22.1% | 20.1% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.