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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.10+1.12vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.85+0.49vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.78+1.49vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.54+0.23vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.42-0.93vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.09-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of Wisconsin1.1040.1%1st Place
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2.49Purdue University0.8527.7%1st Place
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4.49Marquette University-0.785.8%1st Place
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4.23Northwestern University-0.546.7%1st Place
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4.07Lake Forest College-0.428.0%1st Place
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3.6Marquette University-0.0911.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 40.1% | 27.7% | 17.9% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Lukas Diehm | 27.7% | 28.2% | 22.4% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Hunter Ott | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 22.8% | 35.4% |
| Anna Kovacs | 6.7% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 23.8% | 26.5% |
| Lucia Marquez | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 20.5% | 22.9% | 22.5% |
| Eli Erling | 11.9% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.