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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.85+1.48vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.10+0.13vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.09+0.64vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.42+0.05vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.54-0.81vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.78-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Purdue University0.8529.5%1st Place
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2.13University of Wisconsin1.1037.5%1st Place
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3.64Marquette University-0.0910.9%1st Place
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4.05Lake Forest College-0.428.5%1st Place
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4.19Northwestern University-0.547.4%1st Place
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4.5Marquette University-0.786.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 29.5% | 26.8% | 20.5% | 14.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 37.5% | 30.0% | 18.9% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Eli Erling | 10.9% | 13.6% | 21.1% | 22.1% | 19.2% | 13.1% |
| Lucia Marquez | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 24.9% | 21.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 24.5% | 25.7% |
| Hunter Ott | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.