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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.54+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.10+0.13vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.85-0.53vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.42+0.07vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.09-1.37vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.78-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Northwestern University-0.548.1%1st Place
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2.13University of Wisconsin1.1037.6%1st Place
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2.47Purdue University0.8529.6%1st Place
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4.07Lake Forest College-0.427.8%1st Place
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3.63Marquette University-0.0912.0%1st Place
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4.58Marquette University-0.784.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kovacs | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 21.4% | 23.8% | 23.1% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 37.6% | 30.2% | 18.8% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Lukas Diehm | 29.6% | 26.5% | 21.6% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Lucia Marquez | 7.8% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 23.6% | 22.2% |
| Eli Erling | 12.0% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 20.8% | 13.6% |
| Hunter Ott | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 21.8% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.