← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.47+3.59vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.18+1.16vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.67-0.58vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.59+0.41vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+1.87vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.51+1.03vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut1.72-0.77vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University0.72-0.13vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy0.29+0.07vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire1.35-3.60vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University0.55-2.58vs Predicted
-
13Williams College-0.03-2.28vs Predicted
-
14Wesleyan University-1.49-1.03vs Predicted
-
15Brandeis University-0.15-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.59Roger Williams University2.470.1%1st Place
-
3.16Dartmouth College3.180.2%1st Place
-
2.42Tufts University3.670.4%1st Place
-
4.41University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
-
6.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
-
7.03Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
-
6.23University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
-
8.87Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
-
10.07Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
7.4University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
-
9.42Northeastern University0.550.0%1st Place
-
10.72Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
-
12.97Wesleyan University-1.490.0%1st Place
-
10.83Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Swanson | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Storck | 22.0% | 21.7% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 36.7% | 24.0% | 17.5% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Moakes | 10.6% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Presti | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
| Steven Bell | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 5.0% |
| William Dykes | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Olin Nelson | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 3.7% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 11.7% |
| Katherine Walker | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 66.8% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 26.5% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.