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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.10+1.12vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.85+0.44vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.54+1.21vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.09-0.38vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.78-0.46vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.42-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of Wisconsin1.1039.0%1st Place
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2.44Purdue University0.8529.4%1st Place
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4.21Northwestern University-0.547.0%1st Place
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3.62Marquette University-0.0911.5%1st Place
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4.54Marquette University-0.785.4%1st Place
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4.07Lake Forest College-0.427.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 39.0% | 29.5% | 17.6% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Lukas Diehm | 29.4% | 28.6% | 21.8% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 7.0% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 20.0% | 23.8% | 25.8% |
| Eli Erling | 11.5% | 13.9% | 21.0% | 21.6% | 18.7% | 13.3% |
| Hunter Ott | 5.4% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 23.6% | 36.3% |
| Lucia Marquez | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 21.8% | 23.2% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.