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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.54+2.41vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.55+0.39vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.10-1.20vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College-0.42-0.68vs Predicted
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5Marquette University2.00-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Northwestern University-0.549.9%1st Place
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2.39Marquette University0.5525.9%1st Place
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1.8University of Wisconsin1.1048.4%1st Place
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3.32Lake Forest College-0.4210.8%1st Place
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4.07Marquette University2.005.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kovacs | 9.9% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 29.3% | 23.2% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 25.9% | 31.6% | 24.0% | 15.0% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 48.4% | 31.1% | 14.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Lucia Marquez | 10.8% | 14.9% | 25.8% | 28.0% | 20.4% |
| Teague McGinn | 5.1% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 22.2% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.