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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.04+3.57vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+3.53vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.64+2.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.64+4.20vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.41+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.33-2.24vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.90-2.25vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.14-2.27vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.90-2.65vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University1.25-1.99vs Predicted
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12Bates College2.43-5.78vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.69-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57University of Vermont3.040.1%1st Place
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5.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
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8.2Yale University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.17Tufts University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.76University of Vermont3.330.2%1st Place
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4.75Boston University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.73Northeastern University2.140.1%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.01Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.22Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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10.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Layton | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 8.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 11.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Stevens | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 12.1% |
| John Work | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 20.4% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tripp Cashel | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Bryant Dunn | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Sam Millham | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 4.3% |
| Jared Dunn | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 21.6% | 22.7% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Santiago Enrique | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 19.3% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.