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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.54+2.45vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.10-0.19vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.42+0.36vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.55-1.67vs Predicted
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5Marquette University2.00-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Northwestern University-0.549.3%1st Place
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1.81University of Wisconsin1.1047.9%1st Place
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3.36Lake Forest College-0.4210.0%1st Place
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2.33Marquette University0.5526.9%1st Place
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4.06Marquette University2.005.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kovacs | 9.3% | 13.1% | 24.5% | 29.9% | 23.2% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 47.9% | 30.9% | 14.1% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Lucia Marquez | 10.0% | 15.3% | 24.9% | 28.9% | 20.9% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 26.9% | 33.5% | 23.6% | 12.2% | 3.9% |
| Teague McGinn | 5.9% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 23.3% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.