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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+2.45vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.47+2.97vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.72+4.09vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.59+0.79vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.67-2.32vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.51+1.81vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.760.00vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.35+0.24vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-1.50vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.72+0.09vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.29+0.13vs Predicted
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12Williams College-0.03+0.09vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.55-2.39vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University1.25-5.51vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.49-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Dartmouth College3.180.2%1st Place
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4.97Roger Williams University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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4.79University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
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2.68Tufts University3.670.3%1st Place
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7.81Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.0Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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8.24University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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10.09Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.13Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.09Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.61Northeastern University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.49Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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14.06Wesleyan University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Storck | 21.1% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Swanson | 9.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Moakes | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 31.8% | 23.6% | 18.5% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Dykes | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Morgan | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 3.5% |
| Steven Bell | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 9.8% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 31.9% | 11.7% |
| Olin Nelson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 4.3% |
| Jared Dunn | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Katherine Walker | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 14.1% | 68.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.