← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.10+0.76vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University-0.54+1.45vs Predicted
-
3Lake Forest College-0.42+0.37vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University0.55-1.62vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University2.00-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.76University of Wisconsin1.1049.5%1st Place
-
3.45Northwestern University-0.548.6%1st Place
-
3.37Lake Forest College-0.4210.9%1st Place
-
2.38Marquette University0.5525.7%1st Place
-
4.04Marquette University2.005.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 49.5% | 30.8% | 14.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Anna Kovacs | 8.6% | 14.9% | 23.8% | 28.2% | 24.5% |
| Lucia Marquez | 10.9% | 14.1% | 23.4% | 30.3% | 21.2% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 25.7% | 32.5% | 23.8% | 14.2% | 3.8% |
| Teague McGinn | 5.3% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 23.3% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.