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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Lake Forest College-0.42+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.10-0.21vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.54+0.42vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.55-1.69vs Predicted
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5Marquette University2.00-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Lake Forest College-0.429.8%1st Place
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1.79University of Wisconsin1.1048.6%1st Place
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3.42Northwestern University-0.549.6%1st Place
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2.31Marquette University0.5527.0%1st Place
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4.08Marquette University2.005.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Marquez | 9.8% | 14.1% | 23.9% | 30.4% | 21.6% |
| Ryan Tatelbaum | 48.6% | 30.0% | 15.8% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Anna Kovacs | 9.6% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 30.4% | 22.5% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 27.0% | 33.6% | 24.2% | 11.6% | 3.7% |
| Teague McGinn | 5.0% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 23.0% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.