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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.58+4.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.83+2.12vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-0.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.27vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.36-1.86vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52-1.27vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.78-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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2.64Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.14Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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5.09University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Bernhard | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 22.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 31.1% | 24.6% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 15.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 22.7% | 23.3% | 19.1% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.2% |
| Lindsay Grove | 11.7% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 5.4% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 28.2% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.