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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University2.36+3.09vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.83+2.12vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.58+1.64vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04-2.00vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.78-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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2.63Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.64California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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5.18University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Grove | 12.4% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 5.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 30.8% | 24.1% | 19.3% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 15.0% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 24.9% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 23.8% | 23.3% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 18.4% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 11.1% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.