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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.83+3.10vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.78+0.25vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-0.45vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.36-2.77vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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5.1University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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2.94University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.25University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
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5.55California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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4.23Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 32.5% | 26.1% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 14.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 23.9% | 23.4% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.9% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 16.8% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 25.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 12.0% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 6.5% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.