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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.83+3.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-1.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.78+0.23vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-0.44vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.36-2.77vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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2.96University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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5.23University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
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5.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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4.23Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 31.4% | 24.8% | 19.3% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 15.7% |
| Ginger Luckey | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 10.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 23.9% | 23.3% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 16.6% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 24.7% |
| Lindsay Grove | 12.1% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.