Race 4B

boston

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joseph Kelleher 19.3% 15.3% 15.8% 14.6% 10.8% 8.5% 6.4% 3.5% 3.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Steven Drapcho 8.2% 12.2% 10.5% 10.6% 9.4% 11.1% 10.0% 9.6% 8.3% 5.9% 3.4% 0.8%
Kenneth Layton 15.4% 12.4% 13.7% 11.6% 13.8% 9.4% 8.1% 7.2% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2%
Sam Millham 3.7% 4.5% 5.9% 6.1% 7.0% 7.8% 9.4% 11.5% 11.1% 11.4% 13.8% 7.8%
Lyle Fielding 9.6% 10.3% 10.7% 9.9% 11.2% 9.7% 9.7% 8.9% 8.2% 6.3% 4.8% 0.7%
Tommy Holmberg 8.1% 9.2% 7.3% 8.5% 9.2% 10.2% 11.1% 10.7% 10.6% 8.1% 5.2% 1.8%
Bryant Dunn 6.7% 7.1% 7.2% 7.2% 8.6% 8.1% 10.0% 9.2% 11.6% 11.9% 8.7% 3.7%
John Work 9.4% 8.2% 7.8% 10.3% 9.1% 9.2% 8.5% 11.1% 9.7% 8.6% 6.3% 1.8%
Nathan Stevens 3.4% 2.9% 3.6% 5.6% 5.6% 8.4% 8.0% 10.2% 10.6% 15.7% 15.4% 10.6%
Tripp Cashel 12.3% 12.8% 13.7% 12.2% 9.9% 11.3% 9.5% 6.5% 6.0% 3.6% 1.9% 0.3%
Santiago Enrique 1.6% 1.5% 1.3% 1.1% 2.7% 2.2% 3.2% 3.9% 6.2% 9.6% 16.4% 50.3%
Jared Dunn 2.3% 3.6% 2.5% 2.3% 2.7% 4.1% 6.1% 7.7% 10.2% 14.1% 22.6% 21.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.