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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.83+2.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.78+1.21vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University2.36-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04-3.01vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.52-1.29vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.21University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
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4.16Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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5.71University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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5.49California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 31.6% | 25.6% | 18.5% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Ginger Luckey | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 10.4% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 16.2% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 16.8% |
| Lindsay Grove | 11.0% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 23.4% | 23.4% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 26.9% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.