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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.58vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University2.36+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.78+1.22vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.58+0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.04-3.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.83-1.85vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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4.18Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.22University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
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5.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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2.98University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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5.15University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 32.3% | 23.4% | 19.5% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Lindsay Grove | 11.5% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| Ginger Luckey | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 11.2% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 18.1% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 23.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 23.7% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 16.7% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.