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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+1.94vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.83+1.13vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University2.36-0.83vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.78-1.74vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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2.64Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.17Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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5.26University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 24.9% | 23.5% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 30.4% | 25.2% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ginger Luckey | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 11.3% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 15.9% |
| Lindsay Grove | 11.7% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 5.3% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 25.4% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 17.9% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.