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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+5.44vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.24+7.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.82+4.12vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.68vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.59+3.81vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+4.30vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.08+3.45vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.35+0.80vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.18+0.53vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-0.64vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.27+2.50vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.73-0.84vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-0.80vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.61-6.07vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.71-4.03vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.18-5.77vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.01-6.65vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-2.79vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire0.68-6.78vs Predicted
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20University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Dartmouth College1.9511.1%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University1.245.9%1st Place
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7.12Brown University1.8210.0%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.457.6%1st Place
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8.81Northeastern University1.596.1%1st Place
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10.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.085.5%1st Place
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10.45Bowdoin College1.084.5%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University1.356.0%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University1.185.3%1st Place
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9.36Salve Regina University1.315.9%1st Place
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13.5Maine Maritime Academy0.272.6%1st Place
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11.16Fairfield University0.732.8%1st Place
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12.2Salve Regina University0.972.5%1st Place
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7.93Boston College1.617.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont0.714.0%1st Place
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10.23Dartmouth College1.184.3%1st Place
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10.35Boston University1.013.9%1st Place
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15.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.151.6%1st Place
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12.22University of New Hampshire0.682.9%1st Place
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18.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.420.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Styron | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Wallace | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nalu Ho | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 6.3% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Graham Ness | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| John Divelbiss | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 23.2% | 13.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 2.4% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.