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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+1.94vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.74vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.58+1.60vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.78+0.21vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.36-1.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.83-1.84vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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2.64Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.6California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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5.21University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
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4.14Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 25.3% | 21.7% | 20.6% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 30.5% | 24.7% | 18.5% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 10.3% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 24.8% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| Lindsay Grove | 11.4% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 17.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.