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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.73+9.56vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.95+3.97vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.35+5.09vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.24+4.72vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+2.20vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.18+3.63vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+1.85vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.01+1.71vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.82-2.33vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-0.34vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.18-2.15vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.59-3.91vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-1.53vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.08-4.25vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.99vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-1.40vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.68-5.50vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.54vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont0.71-8.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.56Fairfield University0.733.8%1st Place
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5.97Dartmouth College1.9511.7%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University1.356.0%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University1.246.0%1st Place
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7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.458.8%1st Place
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9.63Dartmouth College1.184.7%1st Place
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8.85Salve Regina University1.315.9%1st Place
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9.71Boston University1.014.9%1st Place
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6.67Brown University1.8210.6%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.084.3%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University1.186.3%1st Place
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8.09Northeastern University1.596.7%1st Place
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11.47Salve Regina University0.972.9%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College1.085.9%1st Place
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13.01Maine Maritime Academy0.271.8%1st Place
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14.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.151.2%1st Place
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11.5University of New Hampshire0.684.0%1st Place
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17.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.420.3%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont0.714.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wallace | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Bailey | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Styron | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 6.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 23.5% | 14.8% |
| Grace Cannon | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 11.6% | 66.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.