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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+3.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.83+3.14vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.27-0.39vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.58+1.60vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University2.36-0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52-0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.04-3.96vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.78-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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2.61Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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5.6California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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4.17Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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5.13University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ginger Luckey | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 15.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 30.7% | 24.5% | 19.0% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 25.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 10.0% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 5.4% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 26.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 24.3% | 21.9% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.