← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.82+5.57vs Predicted
-
2Fairfield University0.73+8.57vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+6.65vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.24+5.02vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University0.97+6.34vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College1.95+0.04vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College1.08+2.95vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-0.78vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.31-0.08vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.35-1.93vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.59-2.89vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College1.18-2.28vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire0.68-1.71vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.11vs Predicted
-
15Boston University1.01-5.23vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.71-5.76vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.18-8.24vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-3.53vs Predicted
-
19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.57Brown University1.8210.4%1st Place
-
10.57Fairfield University0.733.5%1st Place
-
9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.085.1%1st Place
-
9.02Roger Williams University1.246.4%1st Place
-
11.34Salve Regina University0.973.5%1st Place
-
6.04Dartmouth College1.9510.5%1st Place
-
9.95Bowdoin College1.084.4%1st Place
-
7.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.459.3%1st Place
-
8.92Salve Regina University1.316.0%1st Place
-
8.07Tufts University1.358.1%1st Place
-
8.11Northeastern University1.596.9%1st Place
-
9.72Dartmouth College1.184.9%1st Place
-
11.29University of New Hampshire0.682.5%1st Place
-
12.89Maine Maritime Academy0.272.1%1st Place
-
9.77Boston University1.014.9%1st Place
-
10.24University of Vermont0.714.1%1st Place
-
8.76Tufts University1.185.9%1st Place
-
14.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.151.2%1st Place
-
17.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.420.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Styron | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| William Bailey | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wallace | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Grace Cannon | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Nalu Ho | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 5.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| John Divelbiss | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 24.1% | 14.7% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 11.8% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.