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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.78+4.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.83+3.18vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.05vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.27-1.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.24vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.36-1.90vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
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5.18University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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2.63Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.1Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.62California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicia Bernhard | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 15.7% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 16.8% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 25.5% | 21.8% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 30.4% | 25.9% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Ginger Luckey | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 10.7% |
| Lindsay Grove | 12.6% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 20.2% | 24.7% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.