← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+6.36vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.18+6.96vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College1.08+6.80vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+5.87vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.24+3.74vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.82+0.71vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.01+3.02vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College1.95-2.00vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.59-0.61vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.97+1.73vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College1.18-1.31vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University1.31-3.12vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy0.27+0.13vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+0.70vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire0.68-3.50vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University1.35-7.73vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont0.71-6.46vs Predicted
-
18Fairfield University0.73-7.11vs Predicted
-
19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.458.6%1st Place
-
8.96Tufts University1.186.7%1st Place
-
9.8Bowdoin College1.084.5%1st Place
-
9.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.085.1%1st Place
-
8.74Roger Williams University1.246.3%1st Place
-
6.71Brown University1.8210.2%1st Place
-
10.02Boston University1.015.0%1st Place
-
6.0Dartmouth College1.9511.1%1st Place
-
8.39Northeastern University1.596.9%1st Place
-
11.73Salve Regina University0.972.9%1st Place
-
9.69Dartmouth College1.184.5%1st Place
-
8.88Salve Regina University1.316.3%1st Place
-
13.13Maine Maritime Academy0.272.5%1st Place
-
14.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.151.2%1st Place
-
11.5University of New Hampshire0.683.5%1st Place
-
8.27Tufts University1.356.6%1st Place
-
10.54University of Vermont0.713.9%1st Place
-
10.89Fairfield University0.733.1%1st Place
-
14.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.201.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| William Bailey | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Nalu Ho | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 27.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| Matthew Wallace | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Cole Perra | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.