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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+3.71vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.63vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.78+1.22vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University2.36-0.83vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.83-0.91vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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2.63Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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2.98University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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5.22University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
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4.17Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.09University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.63California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ginger Luckey | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 9.9% |
| Sarah Mace | 30.8% | 25.0% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 24.5% | 22.1% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 16.7% |
| Lindsay Grove | 10.6% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 16.8% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 25.6% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.