← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+6.41vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University1.31+7.11vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College1.95+2.98vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.68+7.63vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University0.97+6.66vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy0.27+6.98vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.24+1.92vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.18+0.96vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+0.80vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.71+0.58vs Predicted
-
11Fairfield University0.73-0.10vs Predicted
-
12Boston University1.01-2.04vs Predicted
-
13Brown University1.82-6.11vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.59-5.71vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College1.08-4.98vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University1.35-7.94vs Predicted
-
17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-2.32vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-3.38vs Predicted
-
19Dartmouth College1.18-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.459.2%1st Place
-
9.11Salve Regina University1.315.8%1st Place
-
5.98Dartmouth College1.9511.5%1st Place
-
11.63University of New Hampshire0.683.4%1st Place
-
11.66Salve Regina University0.973.2%1st Place
-
12.98Maine Maritime Academy0.272.4%1st Place
-
8.92Roger Williams University1.245.3%1st Place
-
8.96Tufts University1.185.5%1st Place
-
9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.084.8%1st Place
-
10.58University of Vermont0.713.9%1st Place
-
10.9Fairfield University0.734.1%1st Place
-
9.96Boston University1.015.0%1st Place
-
6.89Brown University1.829.2%1st Place
-
8.29Northeastern University1.597.4%1st Place
-
10.02Bowdoin College1.084.8%1st Place
-
8.06Tufts University1.357.0%1st Place
-
14.68University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.201.6%1st Place
-
14.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.151.5%1st Place
-
9.54Dartmouth College1.184.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| Nalu Ho | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 14.0% |
| William Bailey | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Styron | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Wallace | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Cole Perra | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 29.3% |
| John Divelbiss | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 26.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.