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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+6.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.18+7.22vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.27+10.02vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82+2.91vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+4.70vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.95+0.07vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.01+3.06vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97+3.58vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.73+1.49vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.24-1.16vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.18-1.18vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+2.67vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.68-1.75vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.35-5.65vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.08-4.82vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-6.73vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.59-8.79vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.71-7.69vs Predicted
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19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.458.2%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University1.185.8%1st Place
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13.02Maine Maritime Academy0.272.4%1st Place
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6.91Brown University1.8210.5%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.084.8%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College1.9512.0%1st Place
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10.06Boston University1.014.8%1st Place
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11.58Salve Regina University0.972.6%1st Place
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10.49Fairfield University0.734.0%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University1.245.9%1st Place
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9.82Dartmouth College1.184.7%1st Place
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14.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.151.3%1st Place
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11.25University of New Hampshire0.683.4%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University1.358.0%1st Place
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10.18Bowdoin College1.083.8%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University1.315.2%1st Place
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8.21Northeastern University1.596.7%1st Place
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10.31University of Vermont0.714.4%1st Place
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14.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.201.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Nalu Ho | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.9% |
| Thomas Styron | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| William Bailey | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| John Divelbiss | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 26.7% |
| Grace Cannon | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Wallace | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Cole Perra | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 16.8% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.