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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.83+4.06vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University2.36+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.74vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-1.01vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27-2.37vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.58-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.78-1.75vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.18Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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2.99University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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2.63Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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5.57California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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5.25University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelia Pelliccio | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 14.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 11.4% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 8.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 12.6% | 11.7% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 24.3% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 32.0% | 23.3% | 17.9% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 25.1% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 18.1% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.