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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+1.94vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.63vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.58+2.59vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University2.36+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.78-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.83-1.83vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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2.63Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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5.59California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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4.21Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.18University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 25.0% | 23.6% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Mace | 31.0% | 25.1% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Bernhard | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 20.2% | 24.4% |
| Lindsay Grove | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 5.3% |
| Ginger Luckey | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 9.4% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 18.8% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 17.5% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.