Race 5B

boston

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kenneth Layton 15.4% 13.6% 12.2% 14.5% 11.5% 10.7% 9.5% 4.9% 4.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Joseph Kelleher 19.3% 19.6% 15.8% 13.0% 11.2% 7.7% 6.1% 3.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Lyle Fielding 11.3% 8.2% 12.0% 10.6% 10.9% 9.7% 12.1% 10.5% 8.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.7%
Nathan Stevens 2.7% 3.4% 4.2% 5.8% 7.1% 7.0% 8.2% 10.9% 13.6% 15.2% 14.0% 7.9%
Marshall McLean 2.5% 3.1% 4.0% 3.8% 6.5% 6.2% 6.5% 9.1% 11.4% 17.3% 18.1% 11.5%
Steven Drapcho 9.8% 12.4% 10.2% 9.7% 10.4% 13.3% 10.8% 9.3% 7.2% 4.7% 1.9% 0.3%
Tommy Holmberg 8.9% 9.0% 10.8% 9.6% 9.3% 10.7% 9.4% 11.9% 8.6% 7.3% 2.7% 1.8%
Tripp Cashel 14.9% 13.9% 12.0% 12.3% 10.0% 10.4% 10.9% 6.9% 5.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Sam Millham 4.0% 4.7% 6.7% 7.1% 8.2% 9.5% 9.6% 12.2% 12.7% 15.1% 7.8% 2.4%
John Work 8.6% 8.9% 9.7% 9.5% 10.3% 10.2% 10.4% 10.6% 9.9% 6.8% 4.0% 1.1%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.7% 1.9% 3.1% 3.5% 4.4% 7.4% 10.5% 25.2% 38.8%
Santiago Enrique 1.1% 2.1% 1.5% 2.4% 2.7% 1.5% 3.0% 5.8% 8.3% 13.5% 23.1% 35.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.