Race 1A

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Michels 26.2% 22.5% 16.8% 13.7% 9.0% 6.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Carly Irwin 7.1% 8.0% 7.6% 8.8% 11.4% 10.2% 14.4% 15.3% 11.8% 4.6% 0.9%
Cecilia Dietsch 11.9% 12.3% 12.8% 12.8% 11.5% 14.0% 10.1% 9.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.1%
Caroline Henry 9.4% 10.9% 11.5% 11.1% 11.3% 12.4% 12.8% 11.2% 7.0% 2.1% 0.2%
Marco Constantini 11.5% 12.7% 13.4% 13.0% 13.3% 10.1% 11.0% 8.9% 4.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Julia Janssen 7.0% 8.1% 9.3% 9.8% 12.2% 12.4% 13.6% 13.9% 9.5% 3.8% 0.5%
John McCalmont 11.8% 11.5% 12.8% 13.5% 12.7% 12.8% 11.1% 8.0% 4.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Ryan Dodge 10.8% 9.8% 10.5% 11.3% 11.2% 12.8% 13.1% 11.5% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Alex Schlotterer 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 3.0% 3.5% 4.2% 6.6% 20.2% 34.4% 20.3%
Shea Smith 2.2% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.9% 3.9% 4.8% 10.2% 23.8% 31.4% 14.2%
Piper Luke 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 1.5% 1.7% 3.5% 7.2% 18.0% 63.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.